Tabilo – Fritz: 10.03.2025 20:30 CEST

H2H: 0-3

Alejandro Tabilo has lost four of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, He won the opening-round match against Lajovic in straight sets. It is his fourth appearance in Indian Wells, and he has never made it past the fourth round.

Taylor Fritz has won three of his last five matches. He won the opening-round match in Indian Wells against Gigante in straight sets. It is his tenth appearance in Indian Wells. He was the champion here in 2022. Last season, Fritz lost against Rune in the fourth round.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Fritz is the favorite in this matchup, and we agree. Tabilo has lost seven out of the last eight matches. He is in terrible form. On the other hand, Fritz dominated in the opening-round match against Gigante and will have a packed crowd on his side tonight.

That being said, Fritz covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Taylor Fritz -4.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365

Arnaldi – Nakashima: 10.03.2025 22:00 CEST

H2H: 1-1

Matteo Arnaldi has won three of his last five matches. The young Italian won against Kovacevic and Rublev en route to the third round. It is his third appearance in Indian Wells. Last season, Arnaldi lost against Alcaraz in the second round.

Brandon Nakashima has won four of his last five matches. He won the opening-round match against Hijikata in straight sets. This will be his sixth appearance in Indian Wells. Last season, he was stopped in the second round.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Arnaldi already won two matches in Indian Wells this week. He upset Rublev in the second round and showed great tennis. We expect Arnaldi to be a better player tonight and win comfortably.

That being said, Arnaldi winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Matteo Arnaldi winning @1.80 @bet365

Khachanov – Shelton: 10.03.2025 22:00 CEST

H2H: first meeting

Karen Khachanov has lost three of his last five matches. He won the opening-round match against Mensik in three tight sets after losing the first set 3-6. This will be his eighth appearance in Indian Wells. He was stopped in the second round last season.

Ben Shelton has won three of his last five matches. Shelton dominated against Navone in the opening round. It is his third appearance in Indian Wells. He has never made it past the fourth round.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Shelton has had a solid season, reaching the semifinals at the Australian Open. He is a better hard-court player than Khachanov and will have a crowd on his side.

That being said, Shelton winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Ben Shelton winning @1.73 @bet365

Main Photo Credit: Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports