The Miami Heat (36-44) and New Orleans Pelicans (21-59) will meet in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 8:00 p.m. ET at the Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, Louisiana. The game will broadcast live on Gulf Coast Sports and NBA League Pass.
The Heat are 14.5-point favorites over the Pelicans on the spread (Heat -14.5), with the over/under set at 213.5 total points. Miami is a -1000 favorite to win outright, while New Orleans is +650 to pull off the upset.
Let’s get into my Heat vs. Pelicans predictions and NBA picks for Friday, April 11.
Place This Bet Instantly!Heat vs. Pelicans Picks, Prediction
My Pelicans vs. Heat best bet is on New Orleans to cover the spread, with the best line currently available at BetMGM. But as always, make sure to shop for the best line using our live NBA odds page.
My Pick: Pelicans +14.5
Friday, Apr 11
8 p.m. ET
Gulf Coast Sports
Heat OddsSpreadTotalMoneyline-14.5
-110
213.5
-110o / -110u
-1000
Pelicans OddsSpreadTotalMoneyline+14.5
-110
213.5
-110o / -110u
+650
- Heat vs. Pelicans spread: Heat -14.5
- Heat vs. Pelicans over/under: 213.5 total points
- Heat vs. Pelicans moneyline: Heat -1000, Pelicans +650
- Heat vs. Pelicans best bet:Pelicans +14.5 (-110)
Heat vs. Pelicans Preview
I get it. the Pelicans have shut everyone down. I do, I understand it. But, this Heat team cannot be laying this many points.
Yes, the Heat still have playoff positioning to play for, and yes, the Pelicans are on a back-to-back. But I don’t know how you get this Heat team with this roster and this profile to be a 13-point favorite on the road vs. anyone.
The Pelicans still have some actual NBA players in the rotation. They’re not going to win this game. But also, this absolutely should not be Heat -14.5.
With Andrew Wiggins, the Heat are 1-4 ATS on the road. Their one cover was vs. the Raptors when they were 3.5-point favorites. Three and a half! Not thirteen!
The Heat are 5-9 ATS this season as a road favorite against teams with a worse winning percentage than them. It doesn’t even really matter who the Pelicans play or don’t play, though I like Bruce Brown, Yves Missi, and Jeremiah Robinson-Earle.
This is a play out of the principle of the matter.
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